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Some days are better than others when it comes to deer hunting. Plan your time in the stand strategically by studying weather trends, rut timing, moon phase and more. (Photo by John Hafner)

Any day that you can get off work is a great one to be in a treestand or ground blind. But some days and weeks are always better than others, and 2026 will be no different. I flipped through the calendar, forecast environmental conditions as best I could, looked back at the historical breeding data of whitetails north of the 35th parallel, and used it all to predict when the hunting should be best. If you plan your PTO to include some or all these days, I believe you’ll have a great deer season.

A couple of things made this year’s predictions tricky. Meteorologists say the fall and winter weather will be dominated by a strong El Niño pattern, creating a clear regional divide for temperatures and moisture. In the Northern Plains, expect warmer and drier weather than normal. From southern Iowa over to the Mid-Atlantic and up in the Northeast, projections favor a cooler-than-average trend. The forecast is a mish-mash, but of one thing I’m confident: Wherever you hunt, the cooler it is on the days listed below, the better the deer movement will be.

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Save a few of your best stands for late October, when the earliest does will come into estrus. (Photo by John Hafner)

Also, it’s a weird lunar year, with the full moons of October and November not occurring until the last week of each month. Most years, I base my predictions around a full moon that shines in early to mid-November, which can trigger good to phenomenal buck movement. But this year, I’m putting more stock in the big moon of October 26, followed by a dark phase in early November. Here we go.

OCT. 24-26: BONANZA BOW WEEKEND

When your bow season opens in September or early October, I know you’ll be out there hunting hard and trying to tag out early. More power to you, but hold back on hunting your very best afternoon stands until this weekend.

Decades of data from deer biologists reveal two things: Whitetails begin scraping heavily around October 20, and bucks breed 5 to 10 percent of a herd’s early-estrus does during the last week of the month. When some mature bucks get on their feet and paw and sniff for the first hotties, the bowhunter in the right spot can shoot a big one.

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If temperatures are cool, you have a good shot at filling your tag between October 21 and Halloween. (Image by Bill Konway)

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The 11-day window of October 21 through Halloween is a good time to bowhunt any year, especially if cool weather cooperates. This season, I’ll narrow it down and go full bore beginning the weekend of Oct. 24. As the waxing gibbous moon leads into the full moon on the 26th, I think the illumination will kick a good many bucks into a frenzy of scraping and prowling. Deer movement could be okay in the morning and at midday, but best I predict in early afternoon until dark. If the first big cold snap of the year blows in and drops the temperature 20 degrees in your spot, this could be the best bowhunting weekend of 2026. Focus on afternoon hunts near crops and food sources.

OCT. 28: DON KISKY’S FAVORITE

From experience, and a good dose of superstition, many of us have settled upon one favorite day to hunt each year. For Realtree pro Don Kisky, it’s October 28. “Bucks are fired up and ready to go, but does aren’t ready to breed for a week or two yet,” he says. “Bucks are moving hard, looking for does and maybe a fight.” Kisky encounters big deer on his south-central Iowa farm on this day most every season, and in years past when a cold front has rolled into the area on October 28, he’s killed some whoppers with his bow. This year, the waning gibbous moon will still show 94% illumination this day, enhancing deer movement, I predict, at midmorning and in the afternoon. If it’s cool with high-pressure where you hunt, you might be like Don and shoot a big rack on October 28.

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This will be a weird lunar year, with the full moons of October and November not occurring until the last week of each month. Cold weather could have a bigger effect on deer movement than moon phase. (Photo by Bill Konway)

NOV. 3: GO VOTE AND GO HUNT

I settled upon my favorite day after more than a decade of great archery and muzzleloader hunts on our farm in the Piedmont of Virginia. I analyzed hundreds of entries in our club journals, and two things jumped out. Most years, Indian Summer’s warm days and winds linger through Halloween. That makes great weather for sitting in a tree, but imperfect for mature buck movement. But come November 3, nature seems to throw a big switch overnight. It starts to cool down, and it doesn’t take much. A drop of 10 degrees or so with a noticeable influx of drier air brings bucks of all sizes out of the woodwork.

The four members of our little club have passed dozens of small to midsize bucks on November 3 in recent years. We’ve killed some great deer in the 140- to 150-class, too. The deer activity we’ve experienced in early November is more dependent on cool weather than on the moon’s illumination (full or on the dark side, we’ve seen and shot bucks). That said, the moon this November 3 might provide a little jolt. It will be last-quarter, the phase when a study by N.C. State researchers found that “deer movement may be extreme, with the last hour of the day especially good.”

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During the Nov. 6-9 weekend, deer movement should be good in the mornings, and great if the temperature is around 35 to 50 degrees in your area. Set up in a treestand back in the timber overlooking a doe trail. (Photo by Bill Konway)

My hunch is that wherever you hunt, if it’s cool with high-pressure, November 3 will be a good Tuesday to join me in taking off work to hunt and vote. If you go, grunt at every buck you see slipping through the woods. Calling starts to work like magic now.

NOV. 6-9: STATISTICAL FAVORITES

November 6, 2012, Wisconsin bowhunter Dusty Gerrits sat in a stand and waited on a buck called Tiny. “We had pictures of Tiny on a scrape the morning before, so I set up right there,” he says. Two small bucks showed early. All of a sudden a giant rolled in and pushed the 8-points off the scrape. “I saw my chance and fired,” says Dusty. The buck crashed away, but didn’t go far. Tiny’s rack netted 189, at the time the new state record archery typical.

November 6-9 have been some of the top big-buck days across North America. A check of the records reveals that 15 Boone and Crockett bucks were killed one season on November 8 alone. That many giants, and maybe a few more, could be tagged during this long weekend. The timing couldn’t be better. Most bucks haven’t bred a doe for a year. They wander around in a testosterone-induced stupor, randy and ornery, waiting on the first does to pop into heat any day now.

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Hunt hard every chance you get during the week of November 8-14, which is peak rut, especially if you live in the Mid-Atlantic or Northeast. (Photo by Bill Konway)

Over these four days, the new moon will be 90 to 100 percent pitch dark. From my experience, and the N.C State science supports it, I expect deer movement to be good in the mornings, and great if the temperature is around 35 to 50 degrees in your area. Quick tip: Try a treestand back in the timber, overlooking a doe trail pocked with fresh rubs and scrapes, and hang tight until 11 a.m. Take a midday break, then head back to a stand in early afternoon, even if heats up a bit. Since many bucks are out of their gourds now, you might see a big deer on his feet and cruising for a doe, even on a 60- or 70-degree afternoon.

NOV. 15-17: LOCKDOWN RECOVERY

If you’re off the week of November 8-14, hunt hard all day, especially if you live in the Mid-Atlantic or the Northeast. It’s peak rut, and you might spot a bruiser pushing or chasing a doe anytime. But toward the end of that week, especially out in Midwestern states, lockdown can happen seemingly overnight. Mature bucks hole up with does and can seem to go underground for several days. Shooter buck sightings can decrease dramatically. If you hit it wrong, the woods can feel like a tomb.

If you hunt in Iowa, Indiana or nearby, think about pushing the start of your vacay back until Monday, November 15 if you can. Bucks that were locked down with does last week should begin to free up and move again. At the risk of sounding like a broken record, pray for cool to cold weather. The new moon of November 8 will remain on the dark side through the 17th. Expect deer to be most active on cold mornings, so pick a timber stand and be in it before sunrise.

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Corn becomes a preferred food source during the late season, helping deer maintain body weight and survive harsh conditions. (Photo by Bill Konway)

NOV. 24: LAST EFFORT RUT

Most does have been bred, and bucks are tired and run down. But those survivors know the chance to breed a doe won’t come around for another year, so they prowl for the last five to 10 percent of does that might still be receptive. They move heavily at night and in cover, but a good buck might slip up at dawn or dusk, so stay out there if you have a tag left. Hope for daytime highs in the 20s to 40, with lows in the 20s or teens. Light snow would be great. This year the moon waxes to full on November 24, and although this is a tricky and uncertain moon to predict, I believe it could make the activity a bit better. Bucks should move well at midmorning and midday. You could have good action if, and it’s a big if, you can hunt ground that’s had little to no prior hunting pressure.

DEC. 3-6: EARLY POST-RUT

For the last decade, I have witnessed steady to good buck movement in early December, especially in the Midwest. I’ve shot some great bucks, including a 160-class giant in southeast Kansas on December 3 a couple of years ago. Wherever you hunt, the early post-rut is a good, if often overlooked, opportunity. If you’re not tagged out yet, keep grinding and do not miss these three days. The moon will be last-quarter which, as mentioned earlier, is prime for good deer activity, and especially in the afternoon around late-season food sources. If it’s frosty and cold, maybe with light snow flying, you might shoot a giant and end the 2026 season with a bang. Good luck.

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